How the Bitcoin Price Might React as Institutional Interest Diminishes

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Bitcoin (BTC) falling lower to the $18,500 level has struck the market by surprise while retail and institutional investor interests are taking a peculiar turn.

Bitcoin has maintained its rangebound price movement under the psychological barrier at the $20,000 mark. As long-term trends presented a rather skewed picture of the larger cryptocurrency market certain trends pointed towards higher volatility and market skepticism in the near term.

Over the last few weeks, the anticipation of the Ethereum Merge largely overshadowed the diminishing institutional interest in the top crypto asset as significant price swings became a norm.

Institutional investors being cautious

On Sept. 19, BTC traded at a daily low of $18,232 but managed to make a recovery above the $19,000 mark. However, a worrying sight was that the market volume of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) fund garnered very low interest from institutional investors.

Fund Market Volume of GBTC | Source: CryptoQuant

GBTC is the leading player in the Bitcoin market among similar institutions. GBTC’s fund market volume shows almost no interest among corporate (institutional) players. Usually, such diminishing interest trends highlight that BTC’s price is prone to fall or is in a distribution phase.

On the contrary, a sudden rise in the fund market volume could lead to a parabolic price rise. For now, though, the number of large transactions, as per data from IntoTheBlock, also made a downward slope highlighting that large entities and bigger transactions were on a decline alongside the BTC price.

Number of Large Transactions | Source: IntoTheBlock

Fewer large transactions happening on the network further point toward lower activity from institutional investors or large market entities.

Bitcoin tussles with $20,000

Bitcoin charted an uptick in price towards the upper $22,700 price level on Sept. 13 as investors and traders anticipated further gains. However, a quick u-turn amid lower retail volumes brought BTC’s price back to the $19,000 range.

BTC/USDT Chart | Source: TradingView

At press time, BTC’s next solid resistance levels stand at the $20,000 and $21,500 mark. Bitcoin’s price would need a quick push from bulls to establish itself comfortably above these key resistance levels.

Nonetheless, a positive sight in investors’ eyes is the high trade volumes on exchanges, indicative of continued retail interest in BTC. However, for long-term price growth, BTC would need additional support from institutions which is lacking at the moment.

Disclaimer

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